Troyes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
MAR
3 - 1
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
TRO
2 - 2
PSG
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 0
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
TRO
2 - 0
AUX
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
TFC
0 - 1
BAS
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2000 |
TFC
3 - 0
LMU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 1
TFC
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
TFC
2 - 0
ESW
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |