Troyes vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LYO
0 - 0
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LHA
1 - 0
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
TRO
0 - 1
GIR
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
TRO
27%
27%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
STR
3 - 1
GUI
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
MPL
2 - 1
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
STR
0 - 1
PSG
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
SED
2 - 1
STR
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 1
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |