Troyes vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 0
TRO
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
FCL
4 - 2
TRO
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
PSG
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
REN
1 - 1
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
TRO
3 - 3
AUX
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
AMI
1 - 3
NAN
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 0
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 0
GUI
68%
21%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 4
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 0
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |