Troyes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
SEN
1 - 3
TRO
8%
18%
74%
|
81 | 24 | 57 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
SED
2 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
TRO
2 - 0
ASN
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
STR
3 - 3
TRO
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
LEN
2 - 2
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
BAS
4 - 1
MET
55%
26%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
MET
3 - 2
BAS
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
MON
6 - 1
MET
65%
21%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
SED
0 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 2
MET
5%
22%
74%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |