Copa Federacion . Last 16
Global 4-3
Tropezón vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TRO
3 - 0
CDG
25%
26%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 1
TRO
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
AST
1 - 2
TRO
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 0
TRO
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 2
AVI
22%
25%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
UDL
40%
26%
33%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 3
AST
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
AST
1 - 2
TRO
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
4 - 0
AST
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AST
2 - 2
CUL
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |