Trofense vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
TRO
38%
25%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AVE
5 - 1
TRO
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 0
TON
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TON
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 1
TON
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
MAD
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
TON
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |