Trofense vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
7º
7º
27
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 0
FEL
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
TRO
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 3
TRO
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
CAN
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
2 - 1
TRO
14%
24%
62%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LUS
5 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
VIA
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |