Trofense vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
TRO
3 - 2
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 1
ARO
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 2
TRO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 1
SCF
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
58%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 3
GFC
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
GFC
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
GFC
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |