Trival Valderas vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BET
0 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
5 - 2
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
AVC
70%
18%
11%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 3
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
INT
3 - 1
ALA
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
HUM
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ORC
2 - 4
ALA
39%
27%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VLL
1 - 2
ALA
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |