Tritium vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
FCV
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 0
TRI
68%
22%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
SOR
14%
24%
62%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
REG
3 - 1
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ACD
2 - 3
VER
14%
23%
63%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
REG
0 - 2
ACD
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACD
6 - 2
RIM
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACD
64%
22%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |