Tristán Suárez vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TEM
2 - 1
SUA
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 2
PAT
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 2
ARM
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
SUA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SUA
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VSC
2 - 2
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
VSC
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 0
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CCO
1 - 3
VSC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 2
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |