Tristán Suárez vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 1
SUA
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 2
QUI
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 4
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
SUA
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 3
ALV
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
AGR
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
INS
3 - 2
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
SAC
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 1
FER
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
IRV
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |