Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
SUA
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 1
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 0
SUA
18%
27%
55%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUA
3 - 1
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
SUA
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
19%
27%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 2
DEF
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
ARM
15%
24%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
12%
25%
63%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 3
DEF
77%
17%
7%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |