Tristán Suárez vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
MER
3 - 0
SUA
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TEM
1 - 2
SUA
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 2
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SUA
2 - 2
FEN
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SUA
0 - 0
ALM
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ALM
31%
29%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
TEM
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
COL
1 - 3
MER
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
DAL
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |