Tristán Suárez vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 0
SUA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 1
RIE
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
SUA
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
5 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 2
SUA
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
DEF
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |