Tristán Suárez vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 2
SUA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
INS
1 - 2
SUA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 0
GIM
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 2
ALB
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
RAF
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 1
FER
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 1
CAG
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 1
RSA
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |