Tristán Suárez vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
ITU
0 - 3
SUA
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BRO
3 - 1
SUA
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SUA
2 - 2
ALM
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CAM
2 - 1
SUA
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
SUA
1 - 3
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
ARR
0 - 2
ALB
38%
25%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ARR
4 - 1
ITU
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 1
ARR
49%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
CAM
0 - 0
ARR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BRO
2 - 1
ARR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |