Triomphe Liancourt vs Racing des Gonaives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triomphe Liancourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
TDL
1 - 0
FIC
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TDL
0 - 0
TEM
36%
30%
34%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 0
TDL
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TDL
0 - 3
VIC
39%
30%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
AME
4 - 0
TDL
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing des Gonaives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GON
0 - 1
AIG
29%
31%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
GON
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GON
1 - 1
AME
29%
31%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 0
GON
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GON
2 - 1
CAP
33%
33%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |