Trindade vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
3 - 2
ANA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 1
TRI
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 1
CNO
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CNO
1 - 1
TRI
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
ANA
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
TRE
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
VIL
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |