Treze vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
TRE
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
TRE
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CRB
0 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
LUV
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAN
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |