Treze vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
0 - 3
SAO
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
5 - 0
TRE
89%
7%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
FER
0 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
SAO
5 - 0
TRE
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
3 - 0
FER
93%
6%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
5 - 0
TRE
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
FLA
3 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |