Lega Pro Round 12

Treviso vs SPAL analysis

Treviso SPAL
65 ELO 58
-12.9% Tilt -5.3%
2707º General ELO ranking 2159º
96º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Treviso
25%
Draw
18.4%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
Treviso
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.4%
Win probability
SPAL
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Treviso
-26%
-14%
SPAL

ELO progression

Treviso
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Treviso
Treviso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2002
ACP
Prato
2 - 1
Treviso
TRE
21%
25%
54%
65 52 13 0
04 Nov. 2002
TRE
Treviso
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
46%
26%
28%
65 63 2 0
27 Oct. 2002
PRO
Pro Patria
1 - 3
Treviso
TRE
49%
25%
26%
64 64 0 +1
20 Oct. 2002
TRE
Treviso
2 - 1
SS Arezzo
ARZ
63%
23%
15%
64 52 12 0
13 Oct. 2002
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
2 - 0
Treviso
TRE
38%
28%
35%
65 60 5 -1

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2002
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Cesena
CES
43%
27%
30%
59 63 4 0
03 Nov. 2002
ACL
Lumezzane
0 - 1
SPAL
SPA
53%
25%
22%
58 60 2 +1
27 Oct. 2002
SPA
SPAL
2 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
39%
27%
34%
57 62 5 +1
20 Oct. 2002
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
AlzanoCene
ALZ
51%
25%
24%
57 58 1 0
13 Oct. 2002
ACP
Prato
1 - 0
SPAL
SPA
40%
27%
33%
57 51 6 0