Treviso vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
USP
2 - 2
TRE
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRE
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
CUN
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
TRE
13%
24%
63%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
ACC
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACM
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 1
SAV
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAV
0 - 1
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
SAV
30%
28%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |