Trento vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
CRE
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
DCA
2 - 1
TRE
56%
23%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 1
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TRE
3 - 2
GRU
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRE
31%
22%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
VBE
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 1
BUS
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VBE
2 - 2
CIS
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ACL
3 - 1
VBE
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |