Trefelin vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 3
TRE
70%
16%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
5 - 0
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
AAF
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
CAM
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
LLA
13%
15%
72%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
LLA
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
BDG
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
PON
65%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
PEN
6 - 0
PON
89%
9%
3%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PON
5 - 2
TAF
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |