Trefelin vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
TRE
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 5
PON
35%
21%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 3
TRE
70%
16%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
5 - 0
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
AAF
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 5
LLA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CWM
2 - 1
LLA
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
BDG
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
LLA
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
LLA
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |