Treaty United vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
9º
6º
37
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
GAL
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
TRE
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
ATH
47%
24%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 3
TRE
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 0
KEF
89%
9%
3%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 4
WAT
11%
20%
68%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 0
FIN
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
COB
4 - 1
FIN
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 4
ATH
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 1
LON
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |