Tre Penne vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 6
TPE
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 4
TPE
11%
20%
70%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 4
TPE
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 2
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | -1 |