Tre Penne vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
TPE
9%
18%
73%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 1
TFI
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 0
TPE
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
COS
1 - 3
TPE
7%
15%
78%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 1
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
58%
24%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
18%
25%
58%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |