Tre Penne vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 3
TPE
35%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 1
TPE
20%
22%
59%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
TPE
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 1
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 0
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |