Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
29%
23%
48%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
0 - 3
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
TPE
24%
22%
54%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 4
DOM
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 3
FOL
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |