Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DOM
2 - 1
TFI
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TFI
2 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
TFI
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DOM
1 - 1
TFI
40%
24%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 2
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
FOL
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 0
TPE
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
FOL
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | +1 |