1st League Round 21

Travnik vs TOSK Tesanj analysis

Travnik TOSK Tesanj
36 ELO 45
-5.6% Tilt -2.9%
4490º General ELO ranking 3966º
38º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
18.4%
Travnik
23.3%
Draw
58.2%
TOSK Tesanj

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
Travnik
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.2%
Win probability
TOSK Tesanj
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Travnik
+60%
-1%
TOSK Tesanj

Points and table prediction

Travnik
Their league position
TOSK Tesanj
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
16º
15º
40
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
GOŠK Gabela
64
64
100%
Stupcanica Olovo
52
52
100%
Buducnost Banovici
50
50
100%
Goražde
49
49
100%
Zvijezda
47
47
0%
Gradina Srebrenik
47
47
0%
Tomislav
43
43
0%
Rudar Kakanj
43
43
0%
TOSK Tesanj
40
40
100%
Vis Simm-Bau
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Jedinstvo Bihac
11º
37
37
11º
100%
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
12º
36
36
12º
100%
NK Mladost Doboj Kakanj
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Radnik Hadžići
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Travnik
15º
31
31
15º
100%
FK Radnički Lukavac
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Travnik
TOSK Tesanj
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Travnik
TOSK Tesanj
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Travnik
Travnik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
TMS
Tomislav
2 - 0
Travnik
TRA
67%
19%
14%
34 44 10 0
25 Mar. 2023
TRA
Travnik
2 - 1
GOŠK Gabela
GOS
13%
23%
64%
33 60 27 +1
18 Mar. 2023
BUD
Buducnost Banovici
4 - 0
Travnik
TRA
73%
17%
9%
33 46 13 0
12 Mar. 2023
TRA
Travnik
0 - 1
Vis Simm-Bau
VSB
26%
25%
49%
34 46 12 -1
07 Mar. 2023
RAD
Radnik Hadžići
1 - 1
Travnik
TRA
53%
22%
25%
34 38 4 0

Matches

TOSK Tesanj
TOSK Tesanj
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2023
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
4 - 1
Zvijezda
ZVI
27%
27%
46%
44 50 6 0
25 Mar. 2023
GRD
Gradina Srebrenik
1 - 0
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
45%
24%
31%
45 43 2 -1
19 Mar. 2023
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
0 - 0
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
BRA
39%
27%
34%
45 46 1 0
11 Mar. 2023
RUD
Rudar Kakanj
2 - 1
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
45%
25%
30%
46 46 0 -1
04 Mar. 2023
GOR
Goražde
1 - 1
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
39%
26%
36%
46 44 2 0