Narva Trans vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
8º
49
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
LEV
10%
22%
68%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
TAB
0 - 1
TRA
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
PAR
63%
22%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
HJP
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
HJP
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 1
KAL
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 2
TAL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 1
LEV
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 0
KAL
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |