Championship Round 10

Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town analysis

Tranmere Rovers Swindon Town
63 ELO 54
6.4% Tilt -16.3%
3867º General ELO ranking 2771º
101º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Tranmere Rovers
19%
Draw
12.3%
Swindon Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
Tranmere Rovers
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
Swindon Town
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tranmere Rovers
+32%
+10%
Swindon Town

ELO progression

Tranmere Rovers
Swindon Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1998
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
3 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
60%
22%
19%
63 59 4 0
19 Sep. 1998
BCF
Bury
0 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
51%
27%
22%
63 64 1 0
15 Sep. 1998
BPO
Blackpool
2 - 1
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
49%
25%
26%
64 58 6 -1
11 Sep. 1998
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
2 - 3
Huddersfield Town
HUR
55%
24%
21%
64 62 2 0
08 Sep. 1998
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
46%
28%
26%
64 60 4 0

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 1998
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 4
Watford
WAT
36%
28%
36%
54 64 10 0
12 Sep. 1998
OPA
Portsmouth
5 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
62%
22%
16%
56 62 6 -2
09 Sep. 1998
SWI
Swindon Town
4 - 1
Oxford United
OXF
34%
27%
39%
54 61 7 +2
05 Sep. 1998
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 2
Bristol City
BRI
34%
28%
39%
53 62 9 +1
31 Aug. 1998
BCF
Bury
3 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
59%
25%
17%
54 62 8 -1