Championship Round 9

Tranmere Rovers vs Chesterfield analysis

Tranmere Rovers Chesterfield
57 ELO 62
-3.9% Tilt 1.4%
3864º General ELO ranking 2644º
101º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Tranmere Rovers
21.5%
Draw
25.4%
Chesterfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Tranmere Rovers
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.4%
Win probability
Chesterfield
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tranmere Rovers
+54%
-6%
Chesterfield

ELO progression

Tranmere Rovers
Chesterfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 1938
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
53%
21%
25%
57 61 4 0
24 Sep. 1938
WHU
West Ham
6 - 1
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
73%
16%
12%
58 68 10 -1
19 Sep. 1938
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
3 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
73%
15%
12%
59 65 6 -1
17 Sep. 1938
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
3 - 0
Bury
BCF
49%
23%
27%
57 66 9 +2
10 Sep. 1938
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
70%
18%
13%
58 73 15 -1

Matches

Chesterfield
Chesterfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 1938
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 0
West Ham
WHU
48%
23%
29%
61 69 8 0
24 Sep. 1938
BCF
Bury
3 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
64%
19%
17%
62 65 3 -1
17 Sep. 1938
CHE
Chesterfield
3 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
39%
23%
38%
60 73 13 +2
10 Sep. 1938
FUL
Fulham
2 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
69%
17%
14%
61 70 9 -1
05 Sep. 1938
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
54%
23%
23%
61 61 0 0