Trafford vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
RAD
77%
14%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
OSS
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 0
TRA
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 4
TRA
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
HED
2 - 1
WIT
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
HED
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 1
HED
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HED
1 - 2
ASH
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HED
3 - 1
BED
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |