Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 0-1
TPS vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FFJ
1 - 1
TPS
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
TPS
1 - 1
VAA
75%
16%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TPS
1 - 2
HAK
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
HJK
6 - 0
TPS
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
KUO
1 - 1
TPS
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SDL
2 - 0
KVC
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
CER
2 - 2
KVC
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
KVC
3 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KVC
7 - 1
ZUL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KVK
1 - 1
KVC
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |