TPS vs Ekenäs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
4º
1º
31
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 56 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 43 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 42 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 41 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 29 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 23 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
68.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 2
TPS
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 2
TPS
17%
24%
60%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TPS
2 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GIR
3 - 1
TPS
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
TPS
4 - 2
KAP
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ekenäs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
EKE
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
EKE
1 - 1
JIP
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
KER
0 - 1
EKE
28%
23%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 1
EKE
19%
22%
60%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
EKE
3 - 4
GIR
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |