TPK vs Wilpas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TPK
1 - 0
TPS
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 6
TPK
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TPK
0 - 4
KAK
19%
18%
63%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
MAP
2 - 1
TPK
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 2
TPK
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wilpas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 5
AIF
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
TPS
4 - 0
WIL
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 4
INT
7%
11%
82%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 2
WIL
50%
20%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
PEI
6 - 1
WIL
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |