TP Mazembe vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
1 - 2
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 0
TPM
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALH
0 - 0
TPM
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LUB
1 - 3
TPM
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TPM
0 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 1
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GBA
0 - 0
SIM
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
2 - 0
LUB
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 2
SAI
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 1
RAN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |