Confederation Cup Final
Global 2-3
TP Mazembe vs CS Sfaxien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CSS
2 - 0
TPM
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
TPM
5 - 0
CSM
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 1
TPM
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
DBL
0 - 4
TPM
46%
28%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TPM
6 - 0
ELI
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CS Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CSS
2 - 0
TPM
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CSS
2 - 1
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LPT
2 - 1
CSS
24%
28%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CSS
1 - 0
OLY
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CSS
1 - 0
CAB
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -2 |