French League U19 Group D Round 6

Toulouse U19 vs Saint-Etienne U19 analysis

Toulouse U19 Saint-Etienne U19
31 ELO 37
-0.2% Tilt -3.5%
6992º General ELO ranking 6575º
221º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
40.3%
Toulouse U19
23%
Draw
36.7%
Saint-Etienne U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.7%
Win probability
Saint-Etienne U19
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse U19
+8%
+31%
Saint-Etienne U19

Points and table prediction

Toulouse U19
Their league position
Saint-Etienne U19
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
10º
39
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Toulouse U19
Saint-Etienne U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Toulouse U19
Saint-Etienne U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2023
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 2
Monaco U19
MON
29%
21%
50%
34 39 5 0
24 Sep. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio U19
0 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
44%
24%
33%
33 33 0 +1
16 Sep. 2023
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 2
Nice U19
NIC
49%
23%
29%
33 34 1 0
02 Sep. 2023
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 0
Béziers U19
BEZ
61%
20%
19%
33 28 5 0
26 Aug. 2023
COL
Colomiers U19
0 - 1
Toulouse U19
TOU
37%
24%
39%
33 30 3 0

Matches

Saint-Etienne U19
Saint-Etienne U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
2 - 1
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
86%
10%
5%
36 15 21 0
16 Sep. 2023
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 0
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
24%
22%
54%
37 27 10 -1
10 Sep. 2023
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
4 - 0
Montpellier U19
MON
43%
23%
33%
35 37 2 +2
02 Sep. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
2 - 3
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
10%
15%
76%
35 14 21 0
27 Aug. 2023
ROD
Rodez U19
3 - 1
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
6%
12%
82%
38 9 29 -3