National 3 Group A Round 3

Toulouse II vs Pau FC II analysis

Toulouse II Pau FC II
46 ELO 47
2.2% Tilt -7%
5994º General ELO ranking 5943º
159º Country ELO ranking 157º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Toulouse II
24.4%
Draw
28.6%
Pau FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
Toulouse II
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.6%
Win probability
Pau FC II
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse II
-15%
-10%
Pau FC II

ELO progression

Toulouse II
Pau FC II
Alberes Argelès
Castanet
RCO Agde
SAG Cestas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse II
Toulouse II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
3 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
65%
20%
15%
46 53 7 0
10 May. 2025
TOU
Toulouse II
2 - 0
Stade Bordelais
STA
55%
22%
23%
45 41 4 +1
27 Apr. 2025
GDB
Girondins Bordeaux II
2 - 3
Toulouse II
TOU
39%
26%
34%
45 43 2 0
19 Apr. 2025
CAS
Castanet
1 - 0
Toulouse II
TOU
41%
26%
33%
45 44 1 0
12 Apr. 2025
TOU
Toulouse II
2 - 1
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
57%
22%
20%
45 41 4 0

Matches

Pau FC II
Pau FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
FCP
Pau FC II
3 - 1
Colomiers
COL
42%
25%
33%
45 48 3 0
10 May. 2025
GDB
Girondins Bordeaux II
2 - 3
Pau FC II
FCP
40%
27%
33%
44 42 2 +1
26 Apr. 2025
TRE
Trelissac
0 - 0
Pau FC II
FCP
41%
27%
32%
44 43 1 0
19 Apr. 2025
FCP
Pau FC II
1 - 2
Blagnac
BLA
41%
27%
32%
45 49 4 -1
12 Apr. 2025
ONE
Onet Le Château
2 - 2
Pau FC II
FCP
47%
25%
28%
45 42 3 0