Toulouse II vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
14º
14º
36
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 42 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
62% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LPV
3 - 1
TOU
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 2
CAN
21%
26%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
GRA
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HYE
1 - 1
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HYE
1 - 2
OLY
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JUR
1 - 2
HYE
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HYE
1 - 0
AND
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |