Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 2
TFC
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TFC
3 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
ESW
0 - 0
TFC
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 0
TFC
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
TFC
2 - 0
ASB
63%
24%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 2
LMU
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 2
ASN
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 2
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
FCG
3 - 2
ASN
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |