Toulouse vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
CAN
1 - 0
TFC
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SFP
2 - 1
TFC
69%
16%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
TFC
3 - 1
MAR
30%
22%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
TFC
4 - 3
MET
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
MPL
3 - 1
ASN
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SOC
1 - 0
MPL
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
MPL
5 - 2
MET
50%
21%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
MPL
1 - 1
RCR
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
MPL
1 - 3
OLY
74%
15%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |