Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
SOC
1 - 0
TFC
47%
29%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
TFC
1 - 1
STR
52%
26%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
ASS
3 - 2
TFC
55%
26%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
TFC
1 - 3
MPL
38%
31%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 1
TFC
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1992 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
35%
32%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
MPL
3 - 0
LIL
60%
23%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
LIL
1 - 0
CAE
43%
30%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
STR
2 - 0
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |