Toulouse vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SOC
1 - 1
TFC
24%
26%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
QUE
79%
14%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 4
TFC
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 2
TFC
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ASN
0 - 2
NIO
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 0
NÎM
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
NIO
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 0
QUE
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |