Toulouse vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LYO
0 - 0
TFC
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 3
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
REN
1 - 0
TFC
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
STR
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 0
IST
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |